Fine, Brownstein, Nigrovic, Kimia, Olson, Thompson, Mandl. Integrating spatial epidemiology into a decision model for evaluation of facial palsy in children. Arch Pediatr Adolesc MedArch Pediatr Adolesc Med. 2011;165:61–7.
NOTES
Fine, Andrew MBrownstein, John SNigrovic, Lise EKimia, Amir AOlson, Karen LThompson, Amy DMandl, Kenneth DG08 LM009778/LM/NLM NIH HHS/United StatesG08LM009778/LM/NLM NIH HHS/United StatesK01HK000055/HK/PHITPO CDC HHS/United StatesP01HK000016/HK/PHITPO CDC HHS/United StatesP01HK000088-01/HK/PHITPO CDC HHS/United StatesR01 LM007677/LM/NLM NIH HHS/United StatesComparative StudyEvaluation StudiesResearch Support, N.I.H., ExtramuralResearch Support, U.S. Gov't, P.H.S.United StatesArch Pediatr Adolesc Med. 2011 Jan;165(1):61-7. doi: 10.1001/archpediatrics.2010.250.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To develop a novel diagnostic algorithm for Lyme disease among children with facial palsy by integrating public health surveillance data with traditional clinical predictors. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Children's Hospital Boston emergency department, 1995-2007. PATIENTS: Two hundred sixty-four children (aged 20 years) with peripheral facial palsy who were evaluated for Lyme disease. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Multivariate regression was used to identify independent clinical and epidemiologic predictors of Lyme disease facial palsy. RESULTS: Lyme diagnosis was positive in 65% of children from high-risk counties in Massachusetts during Lyme disease season compared with 5% of those without both geographic and seasonal risk factors. Among patients with both seasonal and geographic risk factors, 80% with 1 clinical risk factor (fever or headache) and 100% with 2 clinical factors had Lyme disease. Factors independently associated with Lyme disease facial palsy were development from June to November (odds ratio, 25.4; 95% confidence interval, 8.3-113.4), residence in a county where the most recent 3-year average Lyme disease incidence exceeded 4 cases per 100,000 (18.4; 6.5-68.5), fever (3.9; 1.5-11.0), and headache (2.7; 1.3-5.8). Clinical experts correctly treated 68 of 94 patients (72%) with Lyme disease facial palsy, but a tool incorporating geographic and seasonal risk identified all 94 cases. CONCLUSIONS: Most physicians intuitively integrate geographic information into Lyme disease management, but we demonstrate quantitatively how formal use of geographically based incidence in a clinical algorithm improves diagnostic accuracy. These findings demonstrate potential for improved outcomes from investments in health information technology that foster bidirectional communication between public health and clinical settings.
Last updated on 02/25/2023